Santos de Guapiles vs Municipal Liberia Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Santos de Guapiles v Municipal Liberia — Team-Based Signals
Santos de Guapiles vs Municipal Liberia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-1
Santos de Guapiles
KOSTK
Santos de Guapiles 0-1 Municipal Liberia — Actual Match Statistics
Municipal Liberia nicked a narrow win over Santos de Guapiles 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 31% / 31% — and on the day Municipal Liberia made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.
On the day, Santos de Guapiles had 62% of the ball to Municipal Liberia's 38%, shots finished 14-17.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Santos de Guapiles and 1.83 for Municipal Liberia.
What was the final score of Santos de Guapiles vs Municipal Liberia?
Santos de Guapiles 0-1 Municipal Liberia in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 01/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Santos de Guapiles vs Municipal Liberia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Santos de Guapiles win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Santos de Guapiles 37%, draw 31%, Municipal Liberia 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Santos de Guapiles) went the other way.