Sassuolo 2-0 Carrarese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 1 May 2025

📅01/05/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.95
Over
46%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1
29%
3.47
2-3
40%
1.8
4-5
22%
3.32
6+
9%
12.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.39
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
12%
13.8
X/1
16%
4.45
X/2
11%
8.71
X/X
10%
5.15
2/1
9%
23.3
2/2
7%
6.71
2/X
7%
15.1
Value flag · 1/X at 13.8 — our 12% vs market 4.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
47%
Home Win
52%
-4.9pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.2pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+1.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.9pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sassuolo The Market 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Carrarese The Market 26%
+17% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.68/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.55
+45% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
349 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
14.0 Crosses 17.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sassuolo
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Carrarese
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.34 xG 0.58
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 3
465 Passes 306
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 16
9 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 0
15.09.2024 Carrarese Carrarese 0-2 HT 0-0 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sassuolo
2-0
AWAY Carrarese
1.41 xG 0.93
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
514 Passes 395
92% Pass Accuracy 90%
32 Box Touches 8
16 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sassuolo vs Carrarese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sassuolo got the better of Carrarese 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sassuolo as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Sassuolo had 55% of the ball to Carrarese's 45%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 1.41 to 0.93.

What was the final score of Sassuolo vs Carrarese?

Sassuolo 2-0 Carrarese in the Italy - Serie B on 01/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sassuolo vs Carrarese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sassuolo win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Sassuolo 47%, draw 28%, Carrarese 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sassuolo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sassuolo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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