Aalborg 1-1 Hobro IK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 1 May 2026

📅01/05/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.46
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
45%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.91
Over 2.5
57%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.66
No
41%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.27
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
25%
3.25
6+ Goals
11%
12.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.71
1/2
6%
27.5
1/X
8%
12.8
X/1
8%
5.69
X/2
18%
5.69
X/X
11%
4.7
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
27.5
2/2
20%
3.7
2/X
5%
12.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.5 — our 8% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
37%
-5.5pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.0pp
45%
Away Win
36%
+8.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
48%
-5.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
52%
+5.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.8pp
41%
BTTS No
44%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aalborg EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Hobro IK EU Bookmakers 40%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +18%
1.07/1.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.37
+19% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +60%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
356 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 77%
15.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.1
13.8 Crosses 18.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aalborg
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Hobro IK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.75 xG 0.98
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
428 Passes 371
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
28 Box Touches 24
24 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
10.04.2026 Hobro IK Hobro IK 0-1 HT 0-1 Aalborg Aalborg DAN1
14.03.2026 Hobro IK Hobro IK 1-0 HT 0-0 Aalborg Aalborg DAN1
01.08.2025 Aalborg Aalborg 1-1 HT 0-1 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
29.06.2024 Hobro IK Hobro IK 1-1 HT 1-0 Aalborg Aalborg HAZ
05.05.2024 Aalborg Aalborg 2-3 HT 2-2 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
12.04.2024 Hobro IK Hobro IK 2-1 HT 0-0 Aalborg Aalborg DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aalborg
1-1
AWAY Hobro IK
0.67 xG 0.70
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
386 Passes 396
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 24
9 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Aalborg vs Hobro IK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aalborg and Hobro IK shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Hobro IK at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Aalborg had 49% of the ball to Hobro IK's 51%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.67 to 0.70.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hobro IK led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Aalborg and 1.33 for Hobro IK.

What was the final score of Aalborg vs Hobro IK?

Aalborg 1-1 Hobro IK in the Denmark 1st Division on 01/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aalborg vs Hobro IK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hobro IK win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Aalborg 32%, draw 24%, Hobro IK 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hobro IK), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hobro IK) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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