Trans Narva 0-3 Nomme JK Kalju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 1 May 2026

📅01/05/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.71
Draw
19%
4.34
Away
61%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.29
Over 2.5
52%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
5%
X/2
28%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
18%
+1.2pp
19%
Draw
20%
-0.8pp
61%
Away Win
62%
-0.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
40%
+8.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
60%
-8.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.9pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trans Narva EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju EU Bookmakers 66%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +15%
1.00/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.98/0.77
-12% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +28%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
238 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trans Narva
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.04.2026 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 2-1 HT 0-1 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
17.09.2025 Trans Narva Trans Narva 0-0 HT 0-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
17.08.2025 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 1-2 HT 0-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
15.06.2025 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 2-0 HT 0-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
19.04.2025 Trans Narva Trans Narva 1-2 HT 0-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
20.10.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 2-2 HT 1-1 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trans Narva
0-3
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju
31% Ball Possession 69%
5 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Trans Narva vs Nomme JK Kalju
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nomme JK Kalju swept aside Trans Narva 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Nomme JK Kalju as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Trans Narva had 31% of the ball to Nomme JK Kalju's 69%, shots finished 5-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nomme JK Kalju led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Trans Narva and 1.50 for Nomme JK Kalju.

What was the final score of Trans Narva vs Nomme JK Kalju?

Trans Narva 0-3 Nomme JK Kalju in the Estonia - Premium League on 01/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trans Narva vs Nomme JK Kalju?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nomme JK Kalju win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Trans Narva 19%, draw 19%, Nomme JK Kalju 61%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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