Nomme JK Kalju 2-1 Trans Narva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 3 Apr 2026

📅03/04/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.66
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
56%
-1.3pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.3pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+2.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.6pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nomme JK Kalju EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Trans Narva EU Bookmakers 23%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +11%
2.17/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.56
+21% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
352 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nomme JK Kalju
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Trans Narva
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
55% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.09.2025 Trans Narva Trans Narva 0-0 HT 0-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
17.08.2025 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 1-2 HT 0-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
15.06.2025 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 2-0 HT 0-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
19.04.2025 Trans Narva Trans Narva 1-2 HT 0-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
20.10.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 2-2 HT 1-1 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
13.07.2024 Trans Narva Trans Narva 2-2 HT 2-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nomme JK Kalju
2-1
AWAY Trans Narva
66% Ball Possession 34%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Nomme JK Kalju vs Trans Narva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nomme JK Kalju edged past Trans Narva 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nomme JK Kalju as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Nomme JK Kalju had 66% of the ball to Trans Narva's 34%, shots finished 14-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nomme JK Kalju had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Nomme JK Kalju and 1.17 for Trans Narva.

What was the final score of Nomme JK Kalju vs Trans Narva?

Nomme JK Kalju 2-1 Trans Narva in the Estonia - Premium League on 03/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nomme JK Kalju vs Trans Narva?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nomme JK Kalju win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Nomme JK Kalju 55%, draw 23%, Trans Narva 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju) ✓ BTTS Yes
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