JK Tammeka Tartu 3-1 FC Flora Tallinn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 3 Apr 2026

📅03/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
3.75
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
59%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.49
No
41%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
21%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
30%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
23%
-5.2pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.3pp
59%
Away Win
55%
+3.9pp
59%
BTTS Yes
63%
-3.8pp
41%
BTTS No
37%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JK Tammeka Tartu EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn EU Bookmakers 59%
+12% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +6%
1.51/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/0.94
+9% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +17%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
251 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JK Tammeka Tartu
1W-0D-5L
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
36% Ball Possession 64%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.09.2025 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 2-1 HT 1-0 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
20.07.2025 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 1-2 HT 1-2 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
30.05.2025 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 3-1 HT 0-1 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
08.04.2025 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 1-2 HT 1-1 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
21.09.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 2-1 HT 1-0 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
19.07.2024 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME JK Tammeka Tartu
3-1
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH JK Tammeka Tartu vs FC Flora Tallinn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JK Tammeka Tartu saw off FC Flora Tallinn 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. FC Flora Tallinn carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, JK Tammeka Tartu had 42% of the ball to FC Flora Tallinn's 58%, shots finished 9-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Flora Tallinn led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for JK Tammeka Tartu and 1.83 for FC Flora Tallinn.

What was the final score of JK Tammeka Tartu vs FC Flora Tallinn?

JK Tammeka Tartu 3-1 FC Flora Tallinn in the Estonia - Premium League on 03/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JK Tammeka Tartu vs FC Flora Tallinn?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Flora Tallinn win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split JK Tammeka Tartu 18%, draw 23%, FC Flora Tallinn 59%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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