Nomme JK Kalju 1-2 Trans Narva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.86
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
26%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
50%
+3.1pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.4pp
24%
Away Win
24%
-0.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.0pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nomme JK Kalju EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Trans Narva EU Bookmakers 28%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
2.57/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/1.27
+52% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / +34%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
386 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nomme JK Kalju
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Trans Narva
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.06.2025 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 2-0 HT 0-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
19.04.2025 Trans Narva Trans Narva 1-2 HT 0-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
20.10.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 2-2 HT 1-1 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
13.07.2024 Trans Narva Trans Narva 2-2 HT 2-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
02.06.2024 Trans Narva Trans Narva 4-1 HT 2-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
09.03.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 3-0 HT 2-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nomme JK Kalju
1-2
AWAY Trans Narva
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nomme JK Kalju vs Trans Narva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trans Narva edged past Nomme JK Kalju 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Nomme JK Kalju at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Nomme JK Kalju had 53% of the ball to Trans Narva's 47%, shots finished 11-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nomme JK Kalju had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Nomme JK Kalju and 1.50 for Trans Narva.

What was the final score of Nomme JK Kalju vs Trans Narva?

Nomme JK Kalju 1-2 Trans Narva in the Estonia - Premium League on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nomme JK Kalju vs Trans Narva?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nomme JK Kalju win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Nomme JK Kalju 53%, draw 23%, Trans Narva 24%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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