Tallinna Kalev 1-6 FC Levadia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
11%
12.23
Draw
15%
7.13
Away
74%
1.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.06
No
46%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
3%
X/2
25%
X/X
5%
2/1
3%
2/2
40%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
11%
Home Win
5%
+5.6pp
15%
Draw
10%
+4.4pp
74%
Away Win
84%
-10.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
44%
+9.4pp
46%
BTTS No
56%
-9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tallinna Kalev EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Levadia EU Bookmakers 90%
+8% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +8%
0.67/2.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.52/0.58
-4% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +19%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
194 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tallinna Kalev
0W-1D-5L
AWAY FC Levadia
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.83
32% Ball Possession 68%
6 Total Shots 24
3 Shots on Target 11
3 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
18.06.2025 FC Levadia FC Levadia 4-0 HT 2-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
19.04.2025 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 0-9 HT 0-3 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
27.09.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 4-0 HT 3-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
22.05.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 2-2 HT 0-1 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
16.04.2024 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 1-2 HT 0-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
16.03.2024 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 0-2 HT 0-2 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tallinna Kalev
1-6
AWAY FC Levadia
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 33
5 Shots on Target 13
1 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tallinna Kalev vs FC Levadia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Levadia ran out comfortable winners over Tallinna Kalev 6-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FC Levadia as the likeliest winner at 74%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%) came in.

On the day, Tallinna Kalev had 36% of the ball to FC Levadia's 64%, shots finished 10-33.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Levadia led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Tallinna Kalev and 3.83 for FC Levadia.

What was the final score of Tallinna Kalev vs FC Levadia?

Tallinna Kalev 1-6 FC Levadia in the Estonia - Premium League on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tallinna Kalev vs FC Levadia?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Levadia win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split Tallinna Kalev 11%, draw 15%, FC Levadia 74%. The final score 1-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Levadia), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Levadia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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