Banga Gargzdai 2-2 Kauno Zalgiris — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 1 May 2026

📅01/05/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
5.09
Draw
24%
3.72
Away Pick
62%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.78
Over
49%
1.92
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.05
No
52%
1.69
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
46%
4-5
22%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
20%
X/X
14%
2/1
1%
2/2
39%
2/X
4%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Banga Gargzdai The Market 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris The Market 62%
Great Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
0.86 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 2.12
1.88 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.82
Average Attack Strength Average
Great Defense Strength Average
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
236 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Banga Gargzdai
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.02.2026 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 1-0 HT 1-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITA
08.11.2025 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 0-0 HT 0-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITA
30.08.2025 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 0-0 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
30.06.2025 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 0-2 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
27.04.2025 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 0-1 HT 0-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITA
19.10.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 1-1 HT 1-1 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITA
REVIEW Banga Gargzdai vs Kauno Zalgiris
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

a 2-2 draw left Banga Gargzdai and Kauno Zalgiris with a point apiece. From 2-1 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time.

Our model won't enjoy this one — Kauno Zalgiris at 62% was the clear read, and the result ignored it. Over a season these leads pay; on a single Tuesday, anything can happen.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 49% and both teams to score at 48%. At 1.69 (~59%), the BTTS-no price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kauno Zalgiris led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.33 a game for Banga Gargzdai against 0.67 for Kauno Zalgiris.

Banga Gargzdai vs Kauno Zalgiris Result & Final Score

Banga Gargzdai 2 - 2 Kauno Zalgiris in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 01/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Banga Gargzdai vs Kauno Zalgiris Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Kauno Zalgiris win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Banga Gargzdai 14%, draw 23%, Kauno Zalgiris 62%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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