Kauno Zalgiris 1-0 Banga Gargzdai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 28 Feb 2026

📅28/02/2026 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
65%
1.49
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
15%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.82
Over
49%
1.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.05
No
53%
1.69
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
46%
4-5
22%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
1%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
3%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Kauno Zalgiris The Market 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Banga Gargzdai The Market 19%
Bad Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Great
2.12 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.80
0.76 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.68
Bad Attack Strength Weak
Strong Defense Strength Great
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
310 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2 Yellow Cards 1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kauno Zalgiris
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Banga Gargzdai
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.11.2025 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 0-0 HT 0-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITA
30.08.2025 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 0-0 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
30.06.2025 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 0-2 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
27.04.2025 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 0-1 HT 0-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITA
19.10.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 1-1 HT 1-1 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITA
18.09.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 0-1 HT 0-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kauno Zalgiris
1 - 0
AWAY Banga Gargzdai
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Kauno Zalgiris vs Banga Gargzdai
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Kauno Zalgiris shaded a tight game against Banga Gargzdai 1-0.

True to our pre-match read, our model had Kauno Zalgiris as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 49% for over 2.5, 47% on both teams scoring. If anything the market was more convinced: the BTTS-no price stood at 1.69, roughly 59%.

On the day, possession split 54% to 46% in Kauno Zalgiris's favour, shots finished 10-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Banga Gargzdai led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.50 a game for Kauno Zalgiris against 0.50 for Banga Gargzdai.

Kauno Zalgiris vs Banga Gargzdai Result & Final Score

Kauno Zalgiris 1 - 0 Banga Gargzdai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Kauno Zalgiris vs Banga Gargzdai Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Kauno Zalgiris win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Kauno Zalgiris 65%, draw 20%, Banga Gargzdai 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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