HFX Wanderers 3-1 Valour — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 1 Jul 2025

📅01/07/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
27%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.9
No
59%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-7.2pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.9pp
27%
Away Win
19%
+8.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.7pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HFX Wanderers EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Valour EU Bookmakers 22%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.80/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.60
+2% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
337 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 74%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
21.6 Crosses 15.3
3.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HFX Wanderers
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Valour
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.75 xG 0.98
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
391 Passes 354
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.04.2025 Valour Valour 0-1 HT 0-0 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers KAPL
21.09.2024 Valour Valour 1-1 HT 0-0 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers KAPL
18.08.2024 Valour Valour 2-1 HT 1-1 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers KAPL
19.07.2024 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 3-1 HT 2-1 Valour Valour KAPL
20.05.2024 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 1-2 HT 0-0 Valour Valour CAPL
07.10.2023 Valour Valour 0-1 HT 0-0 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers CAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HFX Wanderers
3-1
AWAY Valour
2.81 xG 0.61
64% Ball Possession 36%
13 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 0
407 Passes 213
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
31 Box Touches 6
34 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH HFX Wanderers vs Valour
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HFX Wanderers beat Valour 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had HFX Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, HFX Wanderers had 64% of the ball to Valour's 36%, shots finished 13-4, expected goals 2.81 to 0.61.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, HFX Wanderers had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for HFX Wanderers and 1.00 for Valour.

What was the final score of HFX Wanderers vs Valour?

HFX Wanderers 3-1 Valour in the Kanada - Premier League on 01/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HFX Wanderers vs Valour?

Before kick-off our model rated a HFX Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split HFX Wanderers 49%, draw 23%, Valour 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (HFX Wanderers) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (HFX Wanderers) ✗ BTTS No
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