FK Tukums 2000 1-2 Super Nova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 1 Jul 2026

📅01/07/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
28%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.0
Over 2.5
44%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
42%
+4.3pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.2pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-2.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
46%
+10.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
54%
-10.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.4pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Tukums 2000 EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Super Nova EU Bookmakers 34%
+8% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.57/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.36
+4% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +32%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
333 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
19.1 Crosses 19.7
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Tukums 2000
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Super Nova
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.45 xG 1.18
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
329 Passes 209
77% Pass Accuracy 67%
24 Box Touches 19
28 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.05.2026 Super Nova Super Nova 1-1 HT 1-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
22.03.2026 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 1-2 HT 0-2 Super Nova Super Nova LET
28.09.2025 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 2-1 HT 0-1 Super Nova Super Nova LET
06.07.2025 Super Nova Super Nova 1-0 HT 1-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
16.05.2025 Super Nova Super Nova 1-1 HT 0-1 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
31.03.2025 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 2-2 HT 2-1 Super Nova Super Nova LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Tukums 2000
1-2
AWAY Super Nova
0.61 xG 1.76
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
315 Passes 326
16 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ FK Tukums 2000 vs Super Nova
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Super Nova edged past FK Tukums 2000 2-1 away from home in the Latvia - Virsliga on 1 Jul 2026. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 44% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, FK Tukums 2000 had 45% of the ball to Super Nova's 55%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.61 to 1.76.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Super Nova lead the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FK Tukums 2000 and 1.33 for Super Nova.

What was the final score of FK Tukums 2000 vs Super Nova?

FK Tukums 2000 1-2 Super Nova in the Latvia - Virsliga on 01/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Tukums 2000 vs Super Nova?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Tukums 2000 win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split FK Tukums 2000 47%, draw 25%, Super Nova 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FK Tukums 2000) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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