FC Copenhagen 5-1 Magpies — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 1 Aug 2024

📅01/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.11
Draw
23%
8.11
Away
14%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.06
No
50%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
12.2
2-3 Goals
40%
2.8
4-5 Goals
24%
2.3
6+ Goals
14%
2.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
48%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
85%
-21.5pp
22%
Draw
9%
+13.4pp
14%
Away Win
6%
+8.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.6pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Copenhagen EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Magpies EU Bookmakers 9%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
3.65/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.55
+42% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -8%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
482 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 77%
33.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.9 Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Copenhagen
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Magpies
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.20 xG 0.24
76% Ball Possession 24%
24 Total Shots 3
8 Shots on Target 0
10 Corners 1
630 Passes 162
89% Pass Accuracy 71%
43 Box Touches 6
24 Crosses 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
25.07.2024 Magpies Magpies 0-3 HT 0-1 FC Copenhagen AVKL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Copenhagen
5-1
AWAY Magpies
3.14 xG 0.88
71% Ball Possession 29%
30 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 0
627 Passes 212
89% Pass Accuracy 74%
36 Box Touches 3
22 Crosses 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FC Copenhagen vs Magpies
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Copenhagen cruised past Magpies 5-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had FC Copenhagen as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, FC Copenhagen had 71% of the ball to Magpies's 29%, shots finished 30-5, expected goals 3.14 to 0.88.

What was the final score of FC Copenhagen vs Magpies?

FC Copenhagen 5-1 Magpies in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 01/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Copenhagen vs Magpies?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Copenhagen win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split FC Copenhagen 63%, draw 22%, Magpies 14%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Copenhagen), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Copenhagen) ✓ Over 2.5
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