Magpies 0-3 FC Copenhagen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 25 Jul 2024

📅25/07/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
12.23
Draw
17%
8.78
Away
68%
1.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
29%
Over 2.5
71%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
68%
No
32%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
12%
11.0
2-3 Goals EV+ ✓
39%
2.63
4-5 Goals
35%
2.3
6+ Goals
14%
3.25
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 2.63 — our 39% vs market 32.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
16%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
48%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
8%
+7.1pp
17%
Draw
11%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Magpies EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Copenhagen EU Bookmakers 97%
+86% / +86% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.47/0.00
+136% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +146% /
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
276 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.1
Crosses 19.2
3.0 Yellow Cards 0.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Magpies
0-3
AWAY FC Copenhagen
0.24 xG 2.20
24% Ball Possession 76%
3 Total Shots 24
0 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 10
162 Passes 630
71% Pass Accuracy 89%
6 Box Touches 43
2 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Magpies vs FC Copenhagen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Copenhagen ran out comfortable winners over Magpies 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FC Copenhagen as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (71%) landed while both teams to score (68%) missed.

On the day, Magpies had 24% of the ball to FC Copenhagen's 76%, shots finished 3-24, expected goals 0.24 to 2.20.

What was the final score of Magpies vs FC Copenhagen?

Magpies 0-3 FC Copenhagen in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 25/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Magpies vs FC Copenhagen?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Copenhagen win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Magpies 15%, draw 17%, FC Copenhagen 67%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Copenhagen), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Copenhagen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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