Aarau 1-1 Stade Ouchy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 1 Aug 2026

📅01/08/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
33%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.43
Over 2.5
55%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.46
No
44%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.84
2-3 Goals
36%
1.9
4-5 Goals
28%
2.59
6+ Goals
13%
6.46
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
33%
+9.0pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.3pp
33%
Away Win
42%
-8.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
64%
-8.0pp
44%
BTTS No
36%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aarau EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Ouchy EU Bookmakers 46%
+6% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +0%
1.30/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.29
+12% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
267 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.0
13.1 Crosses 20.2
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aarau
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Stade Ouchy
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.67 xG 1.28
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
263 Passes 330
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
32 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.04.2026 Aarau Aarau 3-0 HT 0-0 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
13.02.2026 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 4-2 HT 3-2 Aarau Aarau İSV2
17.10.2025 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 1-2 HT 1-1 Aarau Aarau İSV2
25.08.2025 Aarau Aarau 3-0 HT 1-0 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
04.04.2025 Aarau Aarau 2-2 HT 0-2 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
07.02.2025 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 2-4 HT 2-0 Aarau Aarau İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aarau
1-1
AWAY Stade Ouchy
0.36 xG 0.85
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 3
242 Passes 369
19 Box Touches 29
11 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Aarau vs Stade Ouchy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aarau and Stade Ouchy couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Aarau at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, shots finished 8-15, expected goals 0.36 to 0.85.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aarau had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Aarau and 1.50 for Stade Ouchy.

What was the final score of Aarau vs Stade Ouchy?

Aarau 1-1 Stade Ouchy in the Switzerland Challenge League on 01/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aarau vs Stade Ouchy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aarau win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Aarau 42%, draw 24%, Stade Ouchy 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aarau), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aarau) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →