Aarau 3-0 Stade Ouchy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 22 Apr 2026

📅22/04/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.45
Draw
15%
4.34
Away
19%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.29
Over 2.5
59%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.4
2-3 Goals
37%
1.97
4-5 Goals
25%
2.48
6+ Goals
14%
5.61
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
14%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
64%
+1.2pp
16%
Draw
20%
-4.2pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+2.9pp
41%
Under 2.5
40%
+1.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
60%
-1.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.6pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aarau EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Ouchy EU Bookmakers 19%
-5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
2.19/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/0.99
-6% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 76%
33.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.6
17.6 Crosses 15.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aarau
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Stade Ouchy
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.64 xG 1.41
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
261 Passes 332
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
31 Box Touches 32
12 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 4
13.02.2026 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 4-2 HT 3-2 Aarau Aarau İSV2
17.10.2025 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 1-2 HT 1-1 Aarau Aarau İSV2
25.08.2025 Aarau Aarau 3-0 HT 1-0 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
04.04.2025 Aarau Aarau 2-2 HT 0-2 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
07.02.2025 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 2-4 HT 2-0 Aarau Aarau İSV2
08.12.2024 Aarau Aarau 1-0 HT 1-0 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aarau
3-0
AWAY Stade Ouchy
1.34 xG 0.45
44% Ball Possession 56%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 5
258 Passes 368
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
35 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Aarau vs Stade Ouchy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aarau swept aside Stade Ouchy 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Aarau as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Aarau had 44% of the ball to Stade Ouchy's 56%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 1.34 to 0.45.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aarau had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Aarau and 1.50 for Stade Ouchy.

What was the final score of Aarau vs Stade Ouchy?

Aarau 3-0 Stade Ouchy in the Switzerland Challenge League on 22/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aarau vs Stade Ouchy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aarau win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Aarau 66%, draw 16%, Stade Ouchy 19%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aarau), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aarau) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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