Afan Lido vs Aberystwyth Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Afan Lido v Aberystwyth Town — Team-Based Signals
Afan Lido vs Aberystwyth Town Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
7-1
HT 2-0
Afan Lido
GAL
Aberystwyth Town ran out comfortable winners over Afan Lido 5-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (31% / 30% / 38%) promised a tight game; Aberystwyth Town found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Aberystwyth Town led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Afan Lido and 2.67 for Aberystwyth Town.
What was the final score of Afan Lido vs Aberystwyth Town?
Afan Lido 2-5 Aberystwyth Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 01/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Afan Lido vs Aberystwyth Town?
Before kick-off our model rated an Aberystwyth Town win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Afan Lido 31%, draw 30%, Aberystwyth Town 38%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aberystwyth Town) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.