Fredrikstad 1-0 Sandefjord — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 1 Aug 2026

📅01/08/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.63
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.11
6+ Goals
10%
10.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.63 — our 28% vs market 21.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.22
1/2
7%
28.5
1/X
6%
12.2
X/1
8%
5.4
X/2
10%
6.41
X/X
16%
4.82
2/1
8%
24.8
2/2
14%
4.22
2/X
7%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-1.7pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.8pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-1.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.7pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fredrikstad EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sandefjord EU Bookmakers 36%
+13% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -14%
1.81/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.68
+53% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -24%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
316 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 79%
30.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.7
22.5 Crosses 19.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fredrikstad
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Sandefjord
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.14 xG 1.07
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
337 Passes 395
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 27
15 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
25.05.2026 Sandefjord Sandefjord 1-1 HT 0-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
26.10.2025 Sandefjord Sandefjord 0-0 HT 0-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
21.04.2025 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 3-1 HT 3-1 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
01.12.2024 Sandefjord Sandefjord 0-1 HT 0-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
21.06.2024 Sandefjord Sandefjord 4-2 HT 1-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad HAZ
28.04.2024 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 1-0 HT 1-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fredrikstad
1-0
AWAY Sandefjord
1.44 xG 1.07
15 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
312 Passes 546
20 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Fredrikstad vs Sandefjord
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fredrikstad edged past Sandefjord 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 31%) promised a tight game; Fredrikstad found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 1.44 to 1.07.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fredrikstad had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Fredrikstad and 1.00 for Sandefjord.

What was the final score of Fredrikstad vs Sandefjord?

Fredrikstad 1-0 Sandefjord in the Norway - Eliteserien on 01/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fredrikstad vs Sandefjord?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fredrikstad win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Fredrikstad 40%, draw 30%, Sandefjord 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fredrikstad), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fredrikstad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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