Portsmouth vs Derby County Prediction — Model Probabilities
Portsmouth v Derby County — Team-Based Signals
Portsmouth vs Derby County Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Portsmouth edge the probabilities without dominating them — the sort of game that punishes overconfidence.
Portsmouth have scored in every one of their last 5 home league games, and Derby County have lost 4 of their last 5 away league games.
The rivalry ledger says that across their last 6 meetings in our records, Derby County lead the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Portsmouth against 1.83 for Derby County.
Portsmouth vs Derby County Kick-off Time
Portsmouth play Derby County in the England - Championship on 01/09/2026, kick-off 21:45 (Istanbul · GMT+3).
Portsmouth vs Derby County Match Prediction & Odds
Our model's prediction for Portsmouth vs Derby County is a Portsmouth win at about 43% probability, priced 2.12 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Portsmouth 43%, draw 29%, Derby County 28%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.