Birmingham 1-0 Huddersfield Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 1 Oct 2024

📅01/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
29%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.03
Over 2.5
45%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.82
2-3 Goals
43%
1.83
4-5 Goals
21%
3.2
6+ Goals
8%
10.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.82 — our 28% vs market 21.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.06
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.65
X/1
17%
3.97
X/2
10%
10.45
X/X
11%
5.39
2/1
7%
22.7
2/2
11%
7.95
2/X
7%
15.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
57%
-13.6pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.9pp
29%
Away Win
19%
+9.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
45%
+9.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
55%
-9.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.3pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Birmingham EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Huddersfield Town EU Bookmakers 22%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +25%
1.18/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.92/0.13
+68% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +150%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
312 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 67%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.0
30.5 Crosses 23.0
3.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Birmingham
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Huddersfield Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.06 xG 1.22
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
259 Passes 277
70% Pass Accuracy 70%
19 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2024 Huddersfield Town Huddersfield Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Birmingham Birmingham İNCL
03.10.2023 Birmingham Birmingham 4-1 HT 2-0 Huddersfield Town Huddersfield Town İNCL
18.02.2023 Huddersfield Town Huddersfield Town 2-1 HT 1-1 Birmingham Birmingham İNCL
05.08.2022 Birmingham Birmingham 2-1 HT 2-0 Huddersfield Town Huddersfield Town İNCL
26.02.2022 Birmingham Birmingham 0-2 HT 0-2 Huddersfield Town Huddersfield Town İNCL
20.10.2021 Huddersfield Town Huddersfield Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Birmingham Birmingham İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Birmingham
1-0
AWAY Huddersfield Town
3.39 xG 0.76
70% Ball Possession 30%
20 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
541 Passes 163
84% Pass Accuracy 60%
24 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Birmingham vs Huddersfield Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Birmingham nicked a narrow win over Huddersfield Town 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Birmingham as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Birmingham had 70% of the ball to Huddersfield Town's 30%, shots finished 20-8, expected goals 3.39 to 0.76 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Birmingham's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Birmingham and 1.17 for Huddersfield Town.

What was the final score of Birmingham vs Huddersfield Town?

Birmingham 1-0 Huddersfield Town in the England - 1st Division on 01/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Birmingham vs Huddersfield Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Birmingham win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Birmingham 43%, draw 28%, Huddersfield Town 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Birmingham), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Birmingham) ✓ Under 2.5
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