Reading vs Burton Albion Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Reading v Burton Albion — Team-Based Signals
Reading vs Burton Albion Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Burton Albion
İN1
1-3
HT 0-1
Reading
İNCL
1-2
HT 0-1
Burton Albion
İNCL
2-4
HT 0-2
Reading
İNCL
3-0
HT 2-0
Burton Albion
İNCL
Reading 3-1 Burton Albion — Actual Match Statistics
Reading got the better of Burton Albion 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Reading as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Reading had 48% of the ball to Burton Albion's 52%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 0.73 to 1.17 — on chances, Burton Albion could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Reading had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Reading and 1.33 for Burton Albion.
What was the final score of Reading vs Burton Albion?
Reading 3-1 Burton Albion in the England - 1st Division on 01/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Reading vs Burton Albion?
Before kick-off our model rated a Reading win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Reading 50%, draw 27%, Burton Albion 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Reading), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.