Al Gharafa vs Al Ain Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Gharafa v Al Ain — Team-Based Signals
Al Gharafa 4-2 Al Ain — Actual Match Statistics
Al Gharafa saw off Al Ain 4-2. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (36% / 24% / 40%) promised a tight game; Al Gharafa found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Al Gharafa had 36% of the ball to Al Ain's 64%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 2.72 to 1.58.
What was the final score of Al Gharafa vs Al Ain?
Al Gharafa 4-2 Al Ain in the AFC Sampiyonlar League on 01/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Gharafa vs Al Ain?
Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ain win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Al Gharafa 36%, draw 24%, Al Ain 40%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Ain) went the other way.