Johor DT 3-0 Shanghai Shenhua — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC Sampiyonlar League, 1 Oct 2024

📅01/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
1.91
Over
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.7
No Pick
59%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
31%
3.52
2-3
40%
1.8
4-5
20%
3.4
6+
9%
12.65
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.52 — our 31% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.66
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.3
X/1
12%
4.49
X/2
8%
7.46
X/X
14%
4.84
2/1
5%
24.0
2/2
12%
5.42
2/X
6%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-6.2pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.1pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
55%
-13.7pp
59%
BTTS No
45%
+13.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Johor DT EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Shanghai Shenhua EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
326 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Johor DT
3-0
AWAY Shanghai Shenhua
1.04 xG 0.27
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 3
405 Passes 239
88% Pass Accuracy 80%
11 Box Touches 19
8 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Johor DT vs Shanghai Shenhua
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Johor DT swept aside Shanghai Shenhua 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Johor DT as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Johor DT had 60% of the ball to Shanghai Shenhua's 40%, shots finished 15-4, expected goals 1.04 to 0.27.

What was the final score of Johor DT vs Shanghai Shenhua?

Johor DT 3-0 Shanghai Shenhua in the AFC Sampiyonlar League on 01/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Johor DT vs Shanghai Shenhua?

Before kick-off our model rated a Johor DT win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Johor DT 42%, draw 31%, Shanghai Shenhua 28%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Johor DT), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Johor DT) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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