Pohang Steelers 3-0 Shanghai Port — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC Sampiyonlar League, 1 Oct 2024

📅01/10/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
26%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
2.33
Over
42%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.49
No
57%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1
32%
4.95
2-3
40%
1.95
4-5
19%
2.78
6+
9%
7.37
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.95 — our 32% vs market 15.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.88
1/2
7%
28.5
1/X
6%
12.6
X/1
22%
5.15
X/2
8%
6.79
X/X
10%
5.63
2/1
6%
22.3
2/2
12%
4.23
2/X
8%
12.8
Value flag · X/1 at 5.15 — our 22% vs market 14.9%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
44%
+5.3pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.4pp
26%
Away Win
31%
-4.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
39%
+18.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
61%
-18.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
63%
-19.7pp
57%
BTTS No
37%
+19.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pohang Steelers EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Shanghai Port EU Bookmakers 34%
+37% / +37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.82/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.43
+15% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
359 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 80%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
26.0 Crosses 21.2
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pohang Steelers
3-0
AWAY Shanghai Port
1.38 xG 1.27
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 1
408 Passes 298
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Box Touches 26
6 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pohang Steelers vs Shanghai Port
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pohang Steelers cruised past Shanghai Port 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Pohang Steelers as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Pohang Steelers had 57% of the ball to Shanghai Port's 43%, shots finished 18-14, expected goals 1.38 to 1.27.

What was the final score of Pohang Steelers vs Shanghai Port?

Pohang Steelers 3-0 Shanghai Port in the AFC Sampiyonlar League on 01/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pohang Steelers vs Shanghai Port?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pohang Steelers win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Pohang Steelers 49%, draw 24%, Shanghai Port 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pohang Steelers), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pohang Steelers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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