Al Hilal Riyadh 5-0 Al Shorta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC Sampiyonlar League, 1 Oct 2024

📅01/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
68%
1.11
Draw
20%
8.78
Away
12%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
38%
3.68
Over
62%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.6
No
52%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1
19%
9.13
2-3
41%
2.43
4-5
27%
2.34
6+
13%
3.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1.08
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
34.5
X/1
25%
3.52
X/2
4%
34.5
X/X
9%
21.85
2/1
6%
30.0
2/2
5%
34.5
2/X
4%
34.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Al Hilal Riyadh win — 68%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
85%
-17.0pp
19%
Draw
8%
+11.0pp
12%
Away Win
6%
+5.9pp
38%
Under 2.5
24%
+14.1pp
62%
Over 2.5
76%
-14.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
34%
+13.2pp
52%
BTTS No
66%
-13.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Hilal Riyadh EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Shorta EU Bookmakers 9%
-7% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.99/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/1.58
-18% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -69% / +98%
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
502 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 76%
40.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
21.3 Crosses 19.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Hilal Riyadh
5-0
AWAY Al Shorta
2.31 xG 0.52
63% Ball Possession 37%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 0
506 Passes 275
89% Pass Accuracy 82%
34 Box Touches 3
14 Crosses 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Shorta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Hilal Riyadh swept aside Al Shorta 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Hilal Riyadh as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Al Hilal Riyadh had 63% of the ball to Al Shorta's 37%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 2.31 to 0.52.

What was the final score of Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Shorta?

Al Hilal Riyadh 5-0 Al Shorta in the AFC Sampiyonlar League on 01/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Shorta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Hilal Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Al Hilal Riyadh 68%, draw 19%, Al Shorta 12%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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