FK Panevezys 3-1 FK Dainava Alytus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 1 Oct 2025

📅01/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.53
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
13%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.95
Over 2.5
45%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
14%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
62%
+3.3pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.2pp
13%
Away Win
16%
-3.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.2pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Panevezys EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Dainava Alytus EU Bookmakers 19%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.46/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.11
-15% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +37%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
344 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Panevezys
4W-2D-0L
AWAY FK Dainava Alytus
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
14.07.2025 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 0-3 HT 0-2 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
19.06.2025 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 2-0 HT 0-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LITA
16.04.2025 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 1-3 HT 1-2 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
25.08.2024 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 1-1 HT 1-1 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
22.06.2024 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 2-0 HT 2-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
28.04.2024 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Panevezys
3-1
AWAY FK Dainava Alytus
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FK Panevezys vs FK Dainava Alytus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Panevezys saw off FK Dainava Alytus 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FK Panevezys as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FK Panevezys had 60% of the ball to FK Dainava Alytus's 40%, shots finished 13-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Panevezys had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for FK Panevezys and 0.33 for FK Dainava Alytus.

What was the final score of FK Panevezys vs FK Dainava Alytus?

FK Panevezys 3-1 FK Dainava Alytus in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 01/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Panevezys vs FK Dainava Alytus?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Panevezys win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split FK Panevezys 65%, draw 22%, FK Dainava Alytus 13%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Panevezys) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FK Panevezys) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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