Caernarfon Town 4-1 Briton Ferry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 1 Nov 2025

📅01/11/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.32
Draw
24%
4.95
Away
22%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.89
Over 2.5
65%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
70%
1.66
No
30%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
6.25
2-3 Goals
33%
2.09
4-5 Goals
36%
2.41
6+ Goals
14%
4.81
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
71%
-17.3pp
24%
Draw
17%
+6.7pp
22%
Away Win
12%
+10.6pp
35%
Under 2.5
31%
+4.1pp
65%
Over 2.5
69%
-4.1pp
70%
BTTS Yes
56%
+13.7pp
30%
BTTS No
44%
-13.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caernarfon Town EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Briton Ferry EU Bookmakers 15%
-10% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +28%
2.51/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/2.02
-6% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / +25%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
398 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caernarfon Town
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Briton Ferry
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
13.09.2025 Briton Ferry Briton Ferry 2-5 HT 2-1 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town GAL
09.11.2024 Briton Ferry Briton Ferry 0-1 HT 0-1 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town GAL
14.09.2024 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town 3-2 HT 2-1 Briton Ferry Briton Ferry GAL
POST-MATCH Caernarfon Town vs Briton Ferry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caernarfon Town swept aside Briton Ferry 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Caernarfon Town as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (70%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Caernarfon Town had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Caernarfon Town and 1.33 for Briton Ferry.

What was the final score of Caernarfon Town vs Briton Ferry?

Caernarfon Town 4-1 Briton Ferry in the Wales - Premier League on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caernarfon Town vs Briton Ferry?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caernarfon Town win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Caernarfon Town 54%, draw 24%, Briton Ferry 22%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caernarfon Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Caernarfon Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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