Briton Ferry 2-5 Caernarfon Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.32
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
51%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.63
Over 2.5
56%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.43
No
44%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.68
2-3 Goals
39%
2.0
4-5 Goals
26%
2.43
6+ Goals
12%
5.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
26%
+0.9pp
21%
Draw
22%
-0.5pp
51%
Away Win
52%
-0.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
34%
+9.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
66%
-9.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
66%
-9.8pp
44%
BTTS No
34%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Briton Ferry EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Caernarfon Town EU Bookmakers 56%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.14/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.98/1.06
+8% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -5%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
298 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Briton Ferry
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Caernarfon Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
09.11.2024 Briton Ferry Briton Ferry 0-1 HT 0-1 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town GAL
14.09.2024 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town 3-2 HT 2-1 Briton Ferry Briton Ferry GAL
POST-MATCH Briton Ferry vs Caernarfon Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caernarfon Town cruised past Briton Ferry 5-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Caernarfon Town as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Caernarfon Town led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Briton Ferry and 2.00 for Caernarfon Town.

What was the final score of Briton Ferry vs Caernarfon Town?

Briton Ferry 2-5 Caernarfon Town in the Wales - Premier League on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Briton Ferry vs Caernarfon Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Caernarfon Town win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Briton Ferry 27%, draw 21%, Caernarfon Town 51%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caernarfon Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Caernarfon Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GAL More Wales - Premier League
13 Sep 2025
14:30 Penybont vs Flint Town United Analysis →
14:30 Barry Town vs Bala Town Analysis →
14:30 Colwyn Bay vs Haverfordwest County Analysis →
14:30 Connahs Quay vs Cardiff MU Analysis →
14:30 The New Saints vs Llanelli Town Analysis →