Barry Town 4-0 Bala Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.8
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
30%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.73
No
44%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.33
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.17
6+ Goals
10%
11.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.33 — our 29% vs market 23.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
11%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
52%
-11.0pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.9pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+7.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
+2.3pp
44%
BTTS No
46%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barry Town EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Bala Town EU Bookmakers 26%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -6%
1.69/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.55
+7% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
374 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barry Town
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Bala Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.12.2024 Bala Town Bala Town 3-1 HT 1-0 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
10.08.2024 Barry Town Barry Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
23.09.2023 Barry Town Barry Town 3-1 HT 2-0 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
12.08.2023 Bala Town Bala Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
23.10.2021 Bala Town Bala Town 3-3 HT 3-1 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
21.08.2021 Barry Town Barry Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
POST-MATCH Barry Town vs Bala Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barry Town ran out comfortable winners over Bala Town 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Barry Town as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bala Town led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Barry Town and 1.50 for Bala Town.

What was the final score of Barry Town vs Bala Town?

Barry Town 4-0 Bala Town in the Wales - Premier League on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barry Town vs Bala Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barry Town win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Barry Town 41%, draw 29%, Bala Town 30%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barry Town) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Barry Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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