Penybont 5-0 Flint Town United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.72
2-3 Goals
35%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
2.94
6+ Goals
11%
9.42
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.72 — our 31% vs market 20.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
56%
-6.9pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.4pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+4.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.2pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Penybont EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Flint Town United EU Bookmakers 25%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -17%
1.71/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/2.48
-3% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -41%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
396 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Penybont
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Flint Town United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 5
09.11.2024 Penybont Penybont 3-1 HT 3-0 Flint Town United Flint Town United GAL
28.09.2024 Flint Town United Flint Town United 0-1 HT 0-0 Penybont Penybont GAL
01.10.2022 Flint Town United Flint Town United 1-1 HT 1-1 Penybont Penybont GAL
27.08.2022 Penybont Penybont 2-1 HT 0-1 Flint Town United Flint Town United GAL
18.04.2022 Penybont Penybont 0-3 HT 0-3 Flint Town United Flint Town United GAL
26.03.2022 Flint Town United Flint Town United 1-0 HT 0-0 Penybont Penybont GAL
POST-MATCH Penybont vs Flint Town United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Penybont cruised past Flint Town United 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Penybont as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Penybont had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Penybont and 1.17 for Flint Town United.

What was the final score of Penybont vs Flint Town United?

Penybont 5-0 Flint Town United in the Wales - Premier League on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Penybont vs Flint Town United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Penybont win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Penybont 49%, draw 25%, Flint Town United 26%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Penybont) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Penybont) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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