Colwyn Bay 3-0 Haverfordwest County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.19
Draw
19%
3.45
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.29
2-3 Goals
45%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.2
6+ Goals
7%
11.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.29 — our 25% vs market 23.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
24%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
42%
+3.7pp
19%
Draw
26%
-7.0pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+3.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.5pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colwyn Bay EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Haverfordwest County EU Bookmakers 36%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +14%
1.36/1.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.32
-12% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colwyn Bay
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Haverfordwest County
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 12
7 Corners 3
13.04.2024 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 3-1 HT 2-0 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay GAL
02.03.2024 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay 0-0 HT 0-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
04.11.2023 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 5-0 HT 3-0 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay GAL
02.09.2023 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay 1-2 HT 0-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
POST-MATCH Colwyn Bay vs Haverfordwest County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colwyn Bay swept aside Haverfordwest County 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Colwyn Bay as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Haverfordwest County led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Colwyn Bay and 2.50 for Haverfordwest County.

What was the final score of Colwyn Bay vs Haverfordwest County?

Colwyn Bay 3-0 Haverfordwest County in the Wales - Premier League on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colwyn Bay vs Haverfordwest County?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colwyn Bay win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Colwyn Bay 46%, draw 19%, Haverfordwest County 36%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Colwyn Bay), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Colwyn Bay) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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