Connahs Quay vs Cardiff MU Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Connahs Quay v Cardiff MU — Team-Based Signals
Connahs Quay vs Cardiff MU Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-0
Connahs Quay
GAL
4-0
HT 2-0
Cardiff MU
GAL
Connahs Quay 1-1 Cardiff MU — Actual Match Statistics
Connahs Quay and Cardiff MU shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Connahs Quay at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Connahs Quay had 59% of the ball to Cardiff MU's 41%, shots finished 12-10.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Connahs Quay had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Connahs Quay and 1.00 for Cardiff MU.
What was the final score of Connahs Quay vs Cardiff MU?
Connahs Quay 1-1 Cardiff MU in the Wales - Premier League on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Connahs Quay vs Cardiff MU?
Before kick-off our model rated a Connahs Quay win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Connahs Quay 58%, draw 27%, Cardiff MU 15%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.