Flint Town United 3-4 Penybont — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 1 Nov 2025

📅01/11/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.46
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
48%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.63
No
41%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.79
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
2.98
6+ Goals
14%
9.51
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
25%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
25%
-1.4pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.9pp
48%
Away Win
50%
-2.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
57%
+2.0pp
41%
BTTS No
43%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Flint Town United EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Penybont EU Bookmakers 55%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -2%
0.95/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.19/1.03
-10% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -9%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
297 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Flint Town United
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Penybont
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 9
5 Yellow Cards 3
13.09.2025 Penybont Penybont 5-0 HT 2-0 Flint Town United Flint Town United GAL
09.11.2024 Penybont Penybont 3-1 HT 3-0 Flint Town United Flint Town United GAL
28.09.2024 Flint Town United Flint Town United 0-1 HT 0-0 Penybont Penybont GAL
01.10.2022 Flint Town United Flint Town United 1-1 HT 1-1 Penybont Penybont GAL
27.08.2022 Penybont Penybont 2-1 HT 0-1 Flint Town United Flint Town United GAL
18.04.2022 Penybont Penybont 0-3 HT 0-3 Flint Town United Flint Town United GAL
POST-MATCH Flint Town United vs Penybont
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Penybont squeezed past Flint Town United 4-3 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Penybont as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (59%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Penybont led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Flint Town United and 2.00 for Penybont.

What was the final score of Flint Town United vs Penybont?

Flint Town United 3-4 Penybont in the Wales - Premier League on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Flint Town United vs Penybont?

Before kick-off our model rated an Penybont win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Flint Town United 24%, draw 28%, Penybont 48%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Penybont), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Penybont) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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