Cardiff MU 0-3 Connahs Quay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 1 Nov 2025

📅01/11/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.46
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
49%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
3.36
2-3 Goals
45%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
3.23
6+ Goals
10%
11.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.36 — our 24% vs market 23.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
12%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
25%
-3.0pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.4pp
49%
Away Win
49%
-0.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.4pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cardiff MU EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Connahs Quay EU Bookmakers 54%
+7% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +13%
1.23/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/0.76
+20% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +31%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
258 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cardiff MU
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Connahs Quay
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
13.09.2025 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 1-1 HT 1-0 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
02.11.2024 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 1-0 HT 0-0 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
21.09.2024 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 2-1 HT 1-1 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
06.04.2024 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 0-3 HT 0-2 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
24.02.2024 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 2-1 HT 1-0 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
04.11.2023 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 3-1 HT 2-0 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
POST-MATCH Cardiff MU vs Connahs Quay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Connahs Quay ran out comfortable winners over Cardiff MU 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Connahs Quay as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Connahs Quay led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cardiff MU and 1.50 for Connahs Quay.

What was the final score of Cardiff MU vs Connahs Quay?

Cardiff MU 0-3 Connahs Quay in the Wales - Premier League on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cardiff MU vs Connahs Quay?

Before kick-off our model rated an Connahs Quay win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Cardiff MU 22%, draw 29%, Connahs Quay 49%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Connahs Quay) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Connahs Quay) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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