Umm Salal 0-5 Al Shamal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 1 Nov 2025

📅01/11/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.04
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
54%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.63
Over 2.5
59%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.49
No
38%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.7
2-3 Goals
38%
2.02
4-5 Goals
24%
2.47
6+ Goals
14%
5.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
21%
+5.2pp
19%
Draw
21%
-2.0pp
54%
Away Win
57%
-3.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
34%
+6.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
66%
-6.3pp
62%
BTTS Yes
63%
-1.3pp
38%
BTTS No
37%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Umm Salal EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Shamal EU Bookmakers 62%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
0.90/1.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.48
-24% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -1%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
290 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 84%
14.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
13.4 Crosses 4.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Umm Salal
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Al Shamal
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.97 xG 2.21
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 8
287 Passes 361
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 35
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
13.05.2025 Umm Salal Umm Salal 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Shamal Al Shamal KUVEK
24.01.2025 Al Shamal Al Shamal 4-0 HT 3-0 Umm Salal Umm Salal KAT
31.08.2024 Umm Salal Umm Salal 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Shamal Al Shamal KATYK
16.08.2024 Umm Salal Umm Salal 3-2 HT 2-0 Al Shamal Al Shamal KAT
05.03.2024 Umm Salal Umm Salal 3-4 HT 0-2 Al Shamal Al Shamal KAT
27.12.2023 Umm Salal Umm Salal 2-0 HT 2-0 Al Shamal Al Shamal KATYK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Umm Salal
0-5
AWAY Al Shamal
0.34 xG 3.32
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 12
3 Corners 7
283 Passes 351
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
6 Box Touches 25
10 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Umm Salal vs Al Shamal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Shamal ran out comfortable winners over Umm Salal 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Shamal as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while both teams to score (62%) missed.

On the day, Umm Salal had 45% of the ball to Al Shamal's 55%, shots finished 9-22, expected goals 0.34 to 3.32.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Shamal led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Umm Salal and 2.17 for Al Shamal.

What was the final score of Umm Salal vs Al Shamal?

Umm Salal 0-5 Al Shamal in the Qatar League on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Umm Salal vs Al Shamal?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Shamal win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Umm Salal 27%, draw 19%, Al Shamal 54%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Shamal), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Shamal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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