Atletico San Luis 1-2 FC Juarez — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 1 Nov 2025

📅01/11/2025 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.82
Over 2.5
52%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.1
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.44
6+ Goals
9%
13.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 29% vs market 25.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+1.7pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.7pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
51%
-2.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
49%
+2.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.1pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico San Luis EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Juarez EU Bookmakers 34%
-7% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
1.47/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.53
+0% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
337 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 79%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
18.9 Crosses 17.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico San Luis
3W-1D-2L
AWAY FC Juarez
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.25 xG 1.12
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
329 Passes 336
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 19
13 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2025 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
28.10.2024 FC Juarez FC Juarez 2-4 HT 0-3 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
08.04.2024 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 2-3 HT 2-2 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
26.10.2023 FC Juarez FC Juarez 3-2 HT 2-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
14.04.2023 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
04.08.2022 FC Juarez FC Juarez 1-1 HT 0-1 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico San Luis
1-2
AWAY FC Juarez
1.04 xG 1.31
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
327 Passes 381
85% Pass Accuracy 88%
18 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atletico San Luis vs FC Juarez
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Juarez squeezed past Atletico San Luis 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico San Luis at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Atletico San Luis had 47% of the ball to FC Juarez's 53%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 1.04 to 1.31.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico San Luis had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Atletico San Luis and 1.50 for FC Juarez.

What was the final score of Atletico San Luis vs FC Juarez?

Atletico San Luis 1-2 FC Juarez in the Mexico - Primera on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico San Luis vs FC Juarez?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico San Luis win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Atletico San Luis 44%, draw 24%, FC Juarez 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Atletico San Luis) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico San Luis) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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