Puebla 0-3 Cruz Azul — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 1 Nov 2025

📅01/11/2025 · 🕒06:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.13
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
53%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.03
Over 2.5
55%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.75
No
44%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.65
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.05
6+ Goals
11%
10.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
21%
+4.4pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.7pp
53%
Away Win
55%
-2.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
45%
-0.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
55%
+0.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.1pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Puebla EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Cruz Azul EU Bookmakers 60%
-5% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -11%
1.07/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.06
-7% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -32%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
314 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 83%
15.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.3
16.6 Crosses 21.2
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Puebla
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Cruz Azul
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.91 xG 1.99
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
272 Passes 416
77% Pass Accuracy 85%
11 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.01.2025 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 1-1 HT 1-1 Puebla Puebla MEK
19.10.2024 Puebla Puebla 1-2 HT 1-1 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
13.04.2024 Puebla Puebla 0-1 HT 0-0 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
13.11.2023 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 1-2 HT 1-1 Puebla Puebla MEK
18.02.2023 Puebla Puebla 1-3 HT 0-1 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
24.07.2022 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 2-2 HT 2-2 Puebla Puebla MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Puebla
0-3
AWAY Cruz Azul
0.31 xG 1.45
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
313 Passes 423
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
12 Box Touches 15
13 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Puebla vs Cruz Azul
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cruz Azul cruised past Puebla 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Cruz Azul as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, Puebla had 43% of the ball to Cruz Azul's 57%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 0.31 to 1.45.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cruz Azul led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Puebla and 1.67 for Cruz Azul.

What was the final score of Puebla vs Cruz Azul?

Puebla 0-3 Cruz Azul in the Mexico - Primera on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Puebla vs Cruz Azul?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cruz Azul win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Puebla 25%, draw 22%, Cruz Azul 53%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cruz Azul), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cruz Azul) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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