Necaxa vs Santos Laguna Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Necaxa v Santos Laguna — Team-Based Signals
Necaxa vs Santos Laguna Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-5
HT 0-1
Necaxa
MEK
0-0
HT 0-0
Santos Laguna
MEK
3-1
HT 1-0
Necaxa
MEK
Necaxa 4-1 Santos Laguna — Actual Match Statistics
Necaxa ran out comfortable winners over Santos Laguna 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Necaxa as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Necaxa had 43% of the ball to Santos Laguna's 57%, shots finished 23-11, expected goals 2.45 to 1.49.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Necaxa had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Necaxa and 1.67 for Santos Laguna.
What was the final score of Necaxa vs Santos Laguna?
Necaxa 4-1 Santos Laguna in the Mexico - Primera on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Necaxa vs Santos Laguna?
Before kick-off our model rated a Necaxa win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Necaxa 59%, draw 22%, Santos Laguna 19%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Necaxa), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.