Olympiakos 2-1 Aris Saloniki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 1 Nov 2025

📅01/11/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.32
Draw
17%
4.62
Away
13%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.29
No
56%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.33
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.25
6+ Goals
9%
11.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.33 — our 28% vs market 23.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1.54
1/2
3%
35.0
1/X
7%
22.25
X/1
16%
3.59
X/2
3%
19.1
X/X
6%
6.6
2/1
12%
25.5
2/2
6%
18.3
2/X
4%
26.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
71%
-0.8pp
17%
Draw
18%
-1.3pp
13%
Away Win
11%
+2.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.1pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olympiakos EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Aris Saloniki EU Bookmakers 14%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +19%
2.16/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/1.74
+28% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +16%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
401 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 74%
31.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.6
29.8 Crosses 7.5
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olympiakos
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Aris Saloniki
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.13 xG 0.66
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
414 Passes 284
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
27 Box Touches 10
28 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.01.2025 Olympiakos Olympiakos 2-1 HT 0-1 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
21.09.2024 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 2-1 HT 2-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
24.04.2024 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 1-1 HT 0-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
03.04.2024 Olympiakos Olympiakos 3-0 HT 1-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
21.01.2024 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 1-2 HT 0-2 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
27.09.2023 Olympiakos Olympiakos 4-1 HT 1-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olympiakos
2-1
AWAY Aris Saloniki
1.18 xG 1.88
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
350 Passes 218
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 18
27 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Olympiakos vs Aris Saloniki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olympiakos squeezed past Aris Saloniki 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Olympiakos as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Olympiakos had 61% of the ball to Aris Saloniki's 39%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 1.18 to 1.88 — on chances, Aris Saloniki could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olympiakos had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Olympiakos and 1.00 for Aris Saloniki.

What was the final score of Olympiakos vs Aris Saloniki?

Olympiakos 2-1 Aris Saloniki in the Greece - Super League on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olympiakos vs Aris Saloniki?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olympiakos win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Olympiakos 70%, draw 17%, Aris Saloniki 13%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olympiakos), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Olympiakos) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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