Silkeborg IF 1-1 AGF Aarhus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.32
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
44%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.11
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.85
6+ Goals
11%
16.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.11 — our 31% vs market 26.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.7
1/2
8%
26.0
1/X
8%
14.45
X/1
10%
7.43
X/2
15%
4.4
X/X
12%
4.58
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
21%
2.73
2/X
6%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+3.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.5pp
44%
Away Win
47%
-2.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.7pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Silkeborg IF EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY AGF Aarhus EU Bookmakers 51%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -18%
1.44/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/0.93
+22% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +34%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
252 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 81%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.3
12.5 Crosses 27.6
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Silkeborg IF
2W-3D-1L
AWAY AGF Aarhus
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.08 xG 1.18
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
439 Passes 454
85% Pass Accuracy 87%
18 Box Touches 23
11 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.09.2024 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 1-1 HT 1-1 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF DAN
16.05.2024 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 0-1 HT 0-0 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF DAN
09.05.2024 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF 1-0 HT 1-0 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAK
01.04.2024 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF 2-2 HT 1-1 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
10.03.2024 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF 0-1 HT 0-1 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
13.08.2023 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 2-2 HT 1-0 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Silkeborg IF
1-1
AWAY AGF Aarhus
0.78 xG 1.41
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 2
429 Passes 471
86% Pass Accuracy 87%
17 Box Touches 22
11 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Silkeborg IF vs AGF Aarhus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Silkeborg IF and AGF Aarhus couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was AGF Aarhus at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Silkeborg IF had 48% of the ball to AGF Aarhus's 52%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 0.78 to 1.41.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Silkeborg IF had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Silkeborg IF and 1.00 for AGF Aarhus.

What was the final score of Silkeborg IF vs AGF Aarhus?

Silkeborg IF 1-1 AGF Aarhus in the Denmark - Süperlig on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Silkeborg IF vs AGF Aarhus?

Before kick-off our model rated an AGF Aarhus win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Silkeborg IF 30%, draw 26%, AGF Aarhus 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (AGF Aarhus), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AGF Aarhus) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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