Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cruz Azul v Guadalajara — Team-Based Signals
Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Cruz Azul
MEK
Cruz Azul 3-2 Guadalajara — Actual Match Statistics
Cruz Azul nicked a narrow win over Guadalajara 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Cruz Azul as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Cruz Azul had 47% of the ball to Guadalajara's 53%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 1.09 to 2.25 — the balance of chances actually favoured Guadalajara.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cruz Azul had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cruz Azul and 0.33 for Guadalajara.
What was the final score of Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara?
Cruz Azul 3-2 Guadalajara in the Mexico - Primera on 01/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cruz Azul win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Cruz Azul 47%, draw 25%, Guadalajara 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cruz Azul), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.