Samsunspor 1-1 Alanyaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 1 Dec 2025

📅01/12/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.22
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.53
6+ Goals
9%
14.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 29% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.4
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
9%
13.9
X/1
20%
4.4
X/2
8%
8.81
X/X
10%
4.9
2/1
7%
24.45
2/2
10%
6.99
2/X
6%
15.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
52%
-2.1pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.4pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+2.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.4pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Samsunspor EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Alanyaspor EU Bookmakers 26%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -14%
1.71/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.36
-3% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
339 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 78%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
18.7 Crosses 17.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Samsunspor
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Alanyaspor
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.02 xG 0.91
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
327 Passes 372
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.04.2025 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 1-0 HT 1-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TSL
24.11.2024 Samsunspor Samsunspor 1-1 HT 1-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
18.05.2024 Samsunspor Samsunspor 1-1 HT 0-1 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
17.01.2024 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 1-3 HT 1-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TÜK
25.12.2023 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 3-1 HT 2-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TSL
12.03.2016 Samsunspor Samsunspor 5-1 HT 3-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Samsunspor
1-1
AWAY Alanyaspor
0.46 xG 0.70
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 1
388 Passes 362
86% Pass Accuracy 86%
13 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Samsunspor vs Alanyaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Samsunspor and Alanyaspor couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Samsunspor at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Samsunspor had 52% of the ball to Alanyaspor's 48%, shots finished 7-10, expected goals 0.46 to 0.70.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Samsunspor and 1.33 for Alanyaspor.

What was the final score of Samsunspor vs Alanyaspor?

Samsunspor 1-1 Alanyaspor in the Turkey - Super League on 01/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Samsunspor vs Alanyaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Samsunspor win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Samsunspor 50%, draw 25%, Alanyaspor 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Samsunspor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Samsunspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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