Larne FC 3-0 Coleraine FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 2 Jan 2026

📅02/01/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.62
Over 2.5
39%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
38%
2.5
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
4.37
6+ Goals
6%
23.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.5 — our 38% vs market 32.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1 EV+ ✗
29%
3.48
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
9%
13.8
X/1
6%
5.07
X/2
14%
6.19
X/X
16%
4.05
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
11%
4.74
2/X
5%
14.2
Value flag · 1/1 at 3.48 — our 29% vs market 23.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
-0.0pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.4pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
58%
+3.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
42%
-3.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.1pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Larne FC EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Coleraine FC EU Bookmakers 34%
+9% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -9%
1.36/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.39
+3% / +126% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
317 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Larne FC
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Coleraine FC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
25.11.2025 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 1-2 HT 0-2 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
10.08.2025 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
12.04.2025 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 1-2 HT 1-1 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
15.03.2025 Larne FC Larne FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
10.11.2024 Larne FC Larne FC 2-1 HT 0-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
01.09.2024 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Larne FC vs Coleraine FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Larne FC swept aside Coleraine FC 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Larne FC as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Larne FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Larne FC and 1.00 for Coleraine FC.

What was the final score of Larne FC vs Coleraine FC?

Larne FC 3-0 Coleraine FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 02/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Larne FC vs Coleraine FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Larne FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Larne FC 41%, draw 30%, Coleraine FC 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Larne FC), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Larne FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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