Coleraine FC 1-2 Larne FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 25 Nov 2025

📅25/11/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.65
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
4.07
6+ Goals
7%
19.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.65 — our 32% vs market 30.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
3.02
1/2
9%
35.0
1/X
10%
13.3
X/1
11%
4.82
X/2
10%
7.11
X/X
8%
4.16
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
12%
5.52
2/X
8%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-0.7pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.5pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.5pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coleraine FC EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Larne FC EU Bookmakers 31%
-18% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +25%
1.23/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.05
-12% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +36%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
318 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coleraine FC
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Larne FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 13
0 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
10.08.2025 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
12.04.2025 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 1-2 HT 1-1 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
15.03.2025 Larne FC Larne FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
10.11.2024 Larne FC Larne FC 2-1 HT 0-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
01.09.2024 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
27.04.2024 Larne FC Larne FC 5-0 HT 3-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Coleraine FC vs Larne FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Larne FC edged past Coleraine FC 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Coleraine FC at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Larne FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Coleraine FC and 1.83 for Larne FC.

What was the final score of Coleraine FC vs Larne FC?

Coleraine FC 1-2 Larne FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 25/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coleraine FC vs Larne FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coleraine FC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Coleraine FC 43%, draw 26%, Larne FC 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Coleraine FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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KİRL More North Ireland - Premier League
25 Nov 2025
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