Linfield FC 1-0 Crusaders FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 25 Nov 2025

📅25/11/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.37
Draw
18%
4.62
Away
14%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.28
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals
28%
2.82
6+ Goals
10%
8.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1.61
1/2
3%
35.0
1/X
5%
19.2
X/1
20%
3.88
X/2
5%
16.0
X/X
6%
7.32
2/1
8%
21.5
2/2
7%
13.45
2/X
6%
22.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
69%
-0.3pp
18%
Draw
19%
-1.1pp
14%
Away Win
13%
+1.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.9pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Linfield FC EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Crusaders FC EU Bookmakers 16%
+2% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
2.44/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.76
+10% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +26%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
407 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Linfield FC
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Crusaders FC
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
54% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
01.04.2025 Linfield FC Linfield FC 3-1 HT 1-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
07.03.2025 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
28.01.2025 Linfield FC Linfield FC 2-1 HT 2-1 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
12.10.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 2-3 HT 0-1 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
12.04.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
20.01.2024 Linfield FC Linfield FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Linfield FC vs Crusaders FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Linfield FC nicked a narrow win over Crusaders FC 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Linfield FC as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Linfield FC had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Linfield FC and 0.83 for Crusaders FC.

What was the final score of Linfield FC vs Crusaders FC?

Linfield FC 1-0 Crusaders FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 25/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Linfield FC vs Crusaders FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Linfield FC win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Linfield FC 68%, draw 18%, Crusaders FC 14%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Linfield FC), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Linfield FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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KİRL More North Ireland - Premier League
25 Nov 2025
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