Fulham 3-0 Brighton & Hove Albion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 2 Mar 2024

Fulham
3-0 HT 2-0
Brighton & Hove Albion
📅02/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
England - Premier League – 2023/2024

Fulham vs Brighton & Hove Albion Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
31%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.77
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
25%
3.23
6+ Goals
11%
11.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.52
1/2
6%
28.0
1/X
6%
12.4
X/1
11%
5.58
X/2
8%
5.87
X/X
13%
4.78
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
27.0
2/2
17%
3.78
2/X
7%
12.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.0 — our 11% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
38%
+4.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.9pp
31%
Away Win
35%
-3.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.8pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fulham v Brighton & Hove Albion — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fulham EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion EU Bookmakers 38%
+7% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -4%
1.74/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.14
+56% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -2%
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
283 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 406 · 80%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.2
22.3 Crosses 16.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.4

Fulham vs Brighton & Hove Albion Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fulham
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.64 xG 1.47
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 8
277 Passes 471
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 29
9 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
29.10.2023 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 1-1 HT 1-0 Fulham Fulham İNP
18.02.2023 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 0-1 HT 0-0 Fulham Fulham İNP
30.08.2022 Fulham Fulham 2-1 HT 0-0 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
27.01.2021 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 0-0 HT 0-0 Fulham Fulham İNP
16.12.2020 Fulham Fulham 0-0 HT 0-0 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
20.07.2019 Fulham Fulham 2-1 HT 0-1 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion HAZ

Fulham 3-0 Brighton & Hove Albion — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fulham
3-0
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion
1.30 xG 1.34
30% Ball Possession 70%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
217 Passes 660
71% Pass Accuracy 89%
16 Box Touches 41
14 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fulham vs Brighton & Hove Albion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fulham ran out comfortable winners over Brighton & Hove Albion 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Fulham as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fulham had 30% of the ball to Brighton & Hove Albion's 70%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 1.30 to 1.34.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fulham had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Fulham and 0.50 for Brighton & Hove Albion.

What was the final score of Fulham vs Brighton & Hove Albion?

Fulham 3-0 Brighton & Hove Albion in the England - Premier League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fulham vs Brighton & Hove Albion?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fulham win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Fulham 43%, draw 26%, Brighton & Hove Albion 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fulham), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fulham) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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