Angers 0-4 Toulouse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.46
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
49%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.6
Over 2.5
46%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.47
2-3 Goals
35%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
4.46
6+ Goals
11%
23.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
6.07
1/2
7%
29.0
1/X
6%
14.7
X/1
7%
7.37
X/2
18%
4.49
X/X
13%
3.97
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
24%
2.83
2/X
7%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
26%
-0.6pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.1pp
49%
Away Win
46%
+3.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.9pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Angers EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Toulouse EU Bookmakers 49%
-6% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +15%
1.25/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/0.81
+0% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +63% / +108%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
295 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 80%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.5
18.4 Crosses 14.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Angers
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Toulouse
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.39 xG 1.40
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
271 Passes 436
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
20.10.2024 Toulouse Toulouse 1-1 HT 0-1 Angers Angers FR1
12.03.2023 Angers Angers 0-2 HT 0-1 Toulouse Toulouse FR1
16.10.2022 Toulouse Toulouse 3-2 HT 2-1 Angers Angers FR1
25.09.2019 Toulouse Toulouse 0-2 HT 0-0 Angers Angers FR1
27.01.2019 Toulouse Toulouse 0-0 HT 0-0 Angers Angers FR1
22.09.2018 Angers Angers 0-0 HT 0-0 Toulouse Toulouse FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Angers
0-4
AWAY Toulouse
0.35 xG 3.54
46% Ball Possession 54%
5 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 13
4 Corners 9
297 Passes 355
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
7 Box Touches 37
17 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Angers vs Toulouse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Toulouse cruised past Angers 4-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Toulouse as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Angers had 46% of the ball to Toulouse's 54%, shots finished 5-19, expected goals 0.35 to 3.54.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Toulouse led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Angers and 1.00 for Toulouse.

What was the final score of Angers vs Toulouse?

Angers 0-4 Toulouse in the France - Ligue 1 on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Angers vs Toulouse?

Before kick-off our model rated an Toulouse win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Angers 25%, draw 26%, Toulouse 49%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Toulouse), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Toulouse) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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