Auxerre 0-1 RC Strasbourg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 2 Mar 2025

Auxerre
0-1 HT 0-0
RC Strasbourg
📅02/03/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2024/2025

Auxerre vs RC Strasbourg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
36%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.24
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
3.41
6+ Goals
9%
13.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.24 — our 29% vs market 24.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.32
1/2
7%
27.0
1/X
7%
12.45
X/1
14%
6.37
X/2
15%
5.44
X/X
11%
4.47
2/1
6%
30.5
2/2
13%
3.37
2/X
10%
12.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.3pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.3pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-3.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.1pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Auxerre v RC Strasbourg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Auxerre EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY RC Strasbourg EU Bookmakers 43%
+3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -11%
1.62/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.48
+18% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 78%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
19.5 Crosses 17.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.5

Auxerre vs RC Strasbourg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Auxerre
2W-0D-4L
AWAY RC Strasbourg
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.91 xG 2.32
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
293 Passes 368
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
13 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.01.2025 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 3-1 HT 1-1 Auxerre Auxerre FR1
19.03.2023 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 2-0 HT 1-0 Auxerre Auxerre FR1
27.08.2022 Auxerre Auxerre 1-0 HT 1-0 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
20.03.2017 Auxerre Auxerre 0-2 HT 0-0 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR2
21.10.2016 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 2-1 HT 1-0 Auxerre Auxerre FR2
23.08.2016 Auxerre Auxerre 2-0 HT 1-0 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FRLK

Auxerre 0-1 RC Strasbourg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Auxerre
0-1
AWAY RC Strasbourg
2.24 xG 1.37
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
347 Passes 454
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
37 Box Touches 16
26 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Auxerre vs RC Strasbourg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RC Strasbourg edged past Auxerre 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; RC Strasbourg found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Auxerre had 45% of the ball to RC Strasbourg's 55%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 2.24 to 1.37 — on chances, Auxerre could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, RC Strasbourg led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Auxerre and 1.50 for RC Strasbourg.

What was the final score of Auxerre vs RC Strasbourg?

Auxerre 0-1 RC Strasbourg in the France - Ligue 1 on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Auxerre vs RC Strasbourg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Auxerre win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Auxerre 37%, draw 28%, RC Strasbourg 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Auxerre) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Auxerre) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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