Marsilya 2-0 Nantes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 2 Mar 2025

Marsilya
2-0 HT 0-0
Nantes
📅02/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2024/2025

Marsilya vs Nantes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.34
Draw
24%
4.62
Away
18%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.88
No
46%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.38
2-3 Goals
37%
1.87
4-5 Goals
28%
2.8
6+ Goals
15%
7.89
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.59
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
19.1
X/1
15%
3.82
X/2
5%
15.95
X/X
10%
7.33
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
21.0
2/2
6%
13.35
2/X
9%
22.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.0 — our 11% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
70%
-11.8pp
24%
Draw
18%
+5.8pp
18%
Away Win
12%
+6.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.6pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Marsilya v Nantes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marsilya EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Nantes EU Bookmakers 15%
-8% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
2.34/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/2.10
-5% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -11%
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
470 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 74%
30.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
22.2 Crosses 13.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2

Marsilya vs Nantes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marsilya
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Nantes
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.88 xG 1.24
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
532 Passes 252
88% Pass Accuracy 78%
32 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.11.2024 Nantes Nantes 1-2 HT 1-1 Marsilya Marsilya FR1
10.03.2024 Marsilya Marsilya 2-0 HT 1-0 Nantes Nantes FR1
01.09.2023 Nantes Nantes 1-1 HT 1-1 Marsilya Marsilya FR1
01.02.2023 Nantes Nantes 0-2 HT 0-0 Marsilya Marsilya FR1
20.08.2022 Marsilya Marsilya 2-1 HT 0-0 Nantes Nantes FR1
20.04.2022 Marsilya Marsilya 3-2 HT 1-2 Nantes Nantes FR1

Marsilya 2-0 Nantes — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marsilya
2-0
AWAY Nantes
2.15 xG 0.82
75% Ball Possession 25%
21 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
722 Passes 191
91% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 23
12 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Marsilya vs Nantes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marsilya saw off Nantes 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Marsilya as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Marsilya had 75% of the ball to Nantes's 25%, shots finished 21-8, expected goals 2.15 to 0.82.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Marsilya had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Marsilya and 0.83 for Nantes.

What was the final score of Marsilya vs Nantes?

Marsilya 2-0 Nantes in the France - Ligue 1 on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marsilya vs Nantes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marsilya win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Marsilya 58%, draw 24%, Nantes 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marsilya) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Marsilya) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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