St Patricks 1-0 Galway United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 2 Mar 2026

📅02/03/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
18%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.57
2-3 Goals
40%
1.7
4-5 Goals
20%
4.04
6+ Goals
9%
19.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.26
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
6%
14.6
X/1
25%
4.06
X/2
9%
9.41
X/X
12%
4.34
2/1
9%
27.0
2/2
5%
8.17
2/X
8%
16.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
54%
+1.9pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
18%
Away Win
20%
-1.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.6pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St Patricks EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Galway United EU Bookmakers 22%
+2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -8%
1.55/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.35
+21% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +25%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
254 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 210 · 63%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
21.6 Crosses 14.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St Patricks
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Galway United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.23 xG 1.64
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
361 Passes 189
80% Pass Accuracy 68%
24 Box Touches 25
26 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 4
19.09.2025 St Patricks St Patricks 1-1 HT 0-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
14.09.2025 St Patricks St Patricks 3-1 HT 0-0 Galway United Galway United İRK
20.06.2025 Galway United Galway United 3-1 HT 3-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
02.05.2025 St Patricks St Patricks 2-0 HT 2-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
21.02.2025 Galway United Galway United 2-1 HT 2-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
18.10.2024 St Patricks St Patricks 2-1 HT 1-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St Patricks
1-0
AWAY Galway United
1.26 xG 0.42
71% Ball Possession 29%
21 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
427 Passes 123
85% Pass Accuracy 60%
39 Box Touches 16
39 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH St Patricks vs Galway United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St Patricks nicked a narrow win over Galway United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had St Patricks as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, St Patricks had 71% of the ball to Galway United's 29%, shots finished 21-7, expected goals 1.26 to 0.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St Patricks had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for St Patricks and 1.33 for Galway United.

What was the final score of St Patricks vs Galway United?

St Patricks 1-0 Galway United in the Ireland - Premier League on 02/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St Patricks vs Galway United?

Before kick-off our model rated a St Patricks win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split St Patricks 56%, draw 27%, Galway United 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St Patricks), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (St Patricks) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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